Obesity Prediction From Structural MRI Using Conformal Deep Learning With Uncertainty Quantification
Document Type
Conference Paper
Publication Date
2025
DOI
10.1117/12.3048977
Publication Title
Medical Imaging 2025: Computer-Aided Diagnosis
Volume
13407
Pages
134072W
Conference Name
Medical Imaging 2025: Computer-Aided Diagnosis, 16-21 February 2025, San Diego, California
Abstract
Obesity arises from a neurobehavioral disorder in which the brain’s regulation of hunger and food intake is impaired, leading to an imbalance between energy consumption and expenditure. One key phenotype associated with obesity is body mass index (BMI). BMI is influenced by multiple causal pathways driven by behavioral, metabolic, and genetic factors. Traditional obesity prediction studies often rely on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) voxel-based morphometry to correlate BMI with obesity-related clinical measurements and brain structure, predominantly gray matter volume (GMV). However, the altered brain regions are variable and widespread between studies, with some literature presenting contradictory results between BMI and GMV within certain brain regions. Therefore, it is crucial to quantify uncertainty in the analysis to provide user-defined confidence, interpretability in the prediction. To address these limitations, we propose a computational model to predict obesity directly from individual T1-weighted structural MRI (sMRI) data. The proposed conformal deep learning (CDL) model achieves a 5-fold cross validated average precision of 77.65% and an F1-score of 75.42%, effectively classifying a patient as obese or healthy with uncertainty score from sMRI. Furthermore, our model provides probabilistic uncertainty quantification paired with gradient-based localization maps that discover key brain regions, such as frontal lobe, caudate, and thalamus from the individual sMRI of patient. Comparisons with standard probabilistic subcortical atlas and existing literature demonstrate that our CDL model offers complementary evidence linking obesity with subcortical regions. The findings highlight specific brain regions linked to obese individuals, with potential towards developing brain region-focused behavioral therapy designs to control impulsivity for individuals who are overweight or obese.
Rights
© 2025 SPIE. All rights reserved.
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Original Publication Citation
Farzana, W., Temtam, A., Humud-Arboleda, B., Ma, L., Bean, M., Moeller, F. G., & Iftekharuddin, K. M. (2025). Obesity prediction from structural MRI using conformal deep learning with uncertainty quantification, in Medical Imaging 2025: Computer-Aided Diagnosis, edited by Susan M. Astley, Axel Wismüller, Proc. of SPIE 13407, 134072W (04/04/2025). https://doi.org/10.1117/12.3048977
Repository Citation
Farzana, W.; Temtam, A. G. A.; Humud-Arboleda, B.; Ma, L.; Bean, M.; Moeller, F. Gerard; and Iftekharuddin, K. M., "Obesity Prediction From Structural MRI Using Conformal Deep Learning With Uncertainty Quantification" (2025). Electrical & Computer Engineering Faculty Publications. 520.
https://digitalcommons.odu.edu/ece_fac_pubs/520
ORCID
0000-0003-1995-2426 (Farzana), 0000-0001-8316-4163 (Iftekharuddin)
Included in
Biochemical Phenomena, Metabolism, and Nutrition Commons, Cognitive Behavioral Therapy Commons, Neurology Commons
Comments
We would like to acknowledge the support provided by the NIH CTSA Grant (UM1TR004360). Supplemental files available upon request.