Date of Award
Fall 2013
Document Type
Thesis
Degree Name
Master of Science (MS)
Department
Mechanical & Aerospace Engineering
Program/Concentration
Mechanical Engineering
Committee Director
Han P. Bao
Committee Member
Miltos Kotinis
Committee Member
Gene Hou
Call Number for Print
Special Collections; LD4331.E56 O34 2013
Abstract
In a world that is highly infused with technology, it is important that an organization knows how many resources such as manpower, equipment, and funding are needed at what time so that the organization does not suffer unnecessary risks. It is also important to know when to replace equipment. After examining different methods of forecasting, it was determined that manipulation of growth curves was the best way to determine the likelihood of device failure at a specific time. An approach in engineering economics was used to estimate the cost due to the failure of various devices or groups of devices.
To reduce the likelihood of making mistakes in calculating the probability of device failure and its costs, a MatLab program was developed as a key output of this thesis. The program has a set of graphical user interfaces that use s-curves for measuring the growth, decay, and substitution of one type of device by another in the market. A by-product of this thesis is the publication of an operating manual for this program.
Rights
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DOI
10.25777/h68k-2843
Recommended Citation
Obeng, Gershom K..
"Design and Implementation of Software for Technological Forecasting and Modeling Technological Obsolescence"
(2013). Master of Science (MS), Thesis, Mechanical & Aerospace Engineering, Old Dominion University, DOI: 10.25777/h68k-2843
https://digitalcommons.odu.edu/mae_etds/631