Author Information

Grishma Baruah, William & Mary

Abstract

Credit risk analysis and making accurate investment and lending decisions has been a challenge for the financial industry for many years, as can be seen with the 2008 financial crisis. However, with the rise of machine learning models and predictive analytics, there has been a shift to increased reliance on technology for determining credit risk. This transition to machine learning comes with both advantages, such as potentially eliminating human error and assumptions from lending decisions, and disadvantages, such as time constraints, data usage inabilities, and lack of understanding nuances in machine learning models. In this paper, I look at four different machine learning models developed in the past few years specifically for credit analysis. I will explore their effectiveness and the factors and datasets they individually use. I then summarize how my analysis on these models can be used by future researchers to both develop new machine learning models for credit risk analysis and find more potential analysis options, along with how this research could help with increased reliance of machine learning in the financial industry on a broader scale.

Faculty Advisor/Mentor

Rui Ning

Document Type

Paper

Disciplines

Artificial Intelligence and Robotics | Finance and Financial Management | Information Security

DOI

10.25776/t85r-bt14

Publication Date

2022

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Understanding the Effectivity and Increased Reliance of Credit Risk Machine Learning Models in Banking

Credit risk analysis and making accurate investment and lending decisions has been a challenge for the financial industry for many years, as can be seen with the 2008 financial crisis. However, with the rise of machine learning models and predictive analytics, there has been a shift to increased reliance on technology for determining credit risk. This transition to machine learning comes with both advantages, such as potentially eliminating human error and assumptions from lending decisions, and disadvantages, such as time constraints, data usage inabilities, and lack of understanding nuances in machine learning models. In this paper, I look at four different machine learning models developed in the past few years specifically for credit analysis. I will explore their effectiveness and the factors and datasets they individually use. I then summarize how my analysis on these models can be used by future researchers to both develop new machine learning models for credit risk analysis and find more potential analysis options, along with how this research could help with increased reliance of machine learning in the financial industry on a broader scale.