Document Type

Article

Publication Date

2025

DOI

10.1002/ijfe.70072

Publication Title

International Journal of Finance & Economics

Volume

Advance online publication

Pages

1-24

Abstract

This study investigates how the personal characteristics of finance ministers influence political budget cycles in Africa. Using a new dataset covering 300 finance ministers across 23 countries from 1980 to 2020, we find that political budget cycles primarily take the form of increased government consumption during election years. Ministers with prior central banking experience are less likely to amplify spending in election years, effectively curbing political budget cycles. These results remain consistent after accounting for institutional quality, ministerial tenure, and other confounding factors. The findings contribute to the literature by showing that the appointment of finance ministers in African countries shapes fiscal discipline during elections.

Rights

© 2025 The Authors.

This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International (CC BY-NC-ND 4.0) License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non-commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.

Comments

Data availability statement: Article states: "The data that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request."

ORCID

0000-0002-0204-9444 (Strong)

Original Publication Citation

Strong, C. O. (2025). What role do finance ministers play in political business cycles? Evidence‐based on a new African dataset. International Journal of Finance & Economics. Advance online publication. https://doi.org/10.1002/ijfe.70072

ijfe70072-sup-0001-appendixs1.docx (101 kB)
Appendix S1: Supplementary Appendix Tables

Share

COinS