Shaping American Foreign Policy A Game Theoretic Analysis of the United States'--North Korean Relationship
Date of Award
Master of Arts (MA)
Political Science & Geography
Graduate Program in International studies
Kurt Taylor Gaubatz
C. Ariel Pinto
Call Number for Print
Special Collections LD4331.I45 G36 2015
Over the past two decades, international relations researchers have developed increasingly nuanced game theoretic models to analyze interstate interactions. This study is a modem, case-specific Bayesian analysis that aims to make contributions to the scholarly analysis of conflict while offering practical advice to policymakers interested in relations between the United States and North Korea.
This study develops a new model of United States - North Korea relations in order to develop insights useful for understanding and hopefully refining, management of this relationship. This study utilizes the extensive form of a signaling game to model the interactions between both states. This method reveals insightful equilibria that expose nuances in the relationship. Finally, I empirically estimate the game using a set of comparative statics and player type estimates. Ultimately, the analysis suggests that North Korea aims to maintain an air of mid-range credibility while the United States aims to appear as hawkish as possible.
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Ganczak, Kimberly M..
"Shaping American Foreign Policy A Game Theoretic Analysis of the United States'--North Korean Relationship"
(2015). Master of Arts (MA), Thesis, Political Science & Geography, Old Dominion University, DOI: 10.25777/2t7v-s424