University
James Madison University
Country
United States of America
Document Type
Conference Paper
Description/Abstract
In this paper, we use an adaptation of the Lotka-Volterra Predator-Prey framework (via Affilit Et. Al.) to model the relationship between Taliban disinformation campaigns and NATO’s attempts to counter them. We find that aggression is a significantly preferred strategy over stagnation; this result should prompt decisionmakers to take strong stances against disinformation campaigns while maintaining a healthy defense against retribution. This leads us to propose the NATO Afghan Youth for Change program, which provides scholarships to individuals throughout the Afghan diaspora to become NATO influencers - a role which will both advance their personal goals and mitigate the spread of disinformation in what may otherwise be communities targeted by the Taliban’s disinformation campaigns.
Keywords
Disinformation, Population Dynamics Modeling, Counter-terrorism
Disciplines
Defense and Security Studies | International and Intercultural Communication | International Relations | Peace and Conflict Studies | Social Influence and Political Communication | Terrorism Studies
DOI
10.25776/vkh9-y960
Session Title
Democracy, Development, and Disinformation
Location
Chesapeake Room, ODU Webb Center
Start Date
3-21-2025 1:30 PM
End Date
3-21-2025 2:50 PM
Upload File
wf_yes
Included in
Defense and Security Studies Commons, International and Intercultural Communication Commons, International Relations Commons, Peace and Conflict Studies Commons, Social Influence and Political Communication Commons, Terrorism Studies Commons
Modeling the Impact of NATO Policy Actions on Taliban Disinformation Campaigns with Lotka-Volterra Models
Chesapeake Room, ODU Webb Center
In this paper, we use an adaptation of the Lotka-Volterra Predator-Prey framework (via Affilit Et. Al.) to model the relationship between Taliban disinformation campaigns and NATO’s attempts to counter them. We find that aggression is a significantly preferred strategy over stagnation; this result should prompt decisionmakers to take strong stances against disinformation campaigns while maintaining a healthy defense against retribution. This leads us to propose the NATO Afghan Youth for Change program, which provides scholarships to individuals throughout the Afghan diaspora to become NATO influencers - a role which will both advance their personal goals and mitigate the spread of disinformation in what may otherwise be communities targeted by the Taliban’s disinformation campaigns.