Document Type

Report

Publication Date

10-25-2024

Pages

24 pp.

Abstract

In this paper, we explore the potential economic impacts associated with a major hurricane making landfall in Hampton Roads. We estimate the direct damages from a Florence-like Category 3 hurricane with a 3.6 feet tidal offset are estimated at $15.6 billion, equivalent to 10% of the 2022 regional GDP. If we apply existing flood insurance rates to these projected damages, we estimate that the total economic impact would exceed $12 billion with a short-term loss of more than 76,000 jobs. The job losses are concentrated in sectors that provide services to households which would bear the brunt of damages during and after a hurricane. Reducing financial damages by increasing flood insurance take up rates is a recommended policy action to improve economic resiliency in Hampton Roads.

Comments

Acknowledgements: This study was supported by funds from the Commonwealth Center for Recurrent Flooding Resiliency (CCRFR) and Old Dominion University’s Institute for Coastal Adaptation and Resilience (ICAR).

ORCID

0000-0002-0093-3973 (McNab), 0000-0003-4809-5718 (Chen), 0000-0002-5220-0472 (McLeod)

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