Document Type
Article
Publication Date
2022
DOI
10.1088/2752-5295/aca785
Publication Title
Environmental Research: Climate
Volume
1
Issue
2
Pages
023002 (1-8)
Abstract
Future changes to tropical cyclone (TC) climate have the potential to dramatically impact the social and economic landscape of coastal communities. Paleoclimate modeling and paleohurricane proxy development offer exciting opportunities to understand how TC properties (like frequency) change in response to climate variability on long time scales. However, sampling biases in proxies make it difficult to ascertain whether signals in paleohurricane records are related to climate variability or just stochasticity. Short observations and simulation biases prevent TC models from capturing the full range of climate variability and TC characteristics. Integration of these two data types can help address these uncertainties. Robust data model comparison in paleotempestology will require (a) simulating TCs using new paleoclimate data assimilation products and climate model ensembles, (b) building a central repository of open access paleohurricane proxies, (c) compiling paleohurricane records, and (d) filling key gaps in the existing paleohurricane networks. Incorporating the combined information from both paleohurricane proxies and paleo TC simulations into risk assessments for coastal communities could help improve adaptation strategies.
Rights
© 2022 The Authors.
Original content from this work may be used under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) License. Any further distribution of this work must maintain attribution to the author(s) and the title of the work, journal citation and DOI.
Data Availability
Article states: "No new data were created or analysed in this study."
Original Publication Citation
Wallace, E. J., & Dee, S. G. (2022). Tropical cyclone frequency: Turning paleoclimate into projections. Environmental Research: Climate, 1(2), 1-8, Article 023002. https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5295/aca785
Repository Citation
Wallace, E. J. and Dee, S. G., "Tropical Cyclone Frequency: Turning Paleoclimate Into Projections" (2022). OES Faculty Publications. 493.
https://digitalcommons.odu.edu/oeas_fac_pubs/493
ORCID
0000-0002-6492-2077 (Wallace)