ORCID
0000-0002-7419-1159 (Sullivan), 0000-0002-6492-2077 (Wallace)
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
2025
DOI
10.1029/2024GL113940
Publication Title
Geophysical Research Letters
Volume
52
Issue
18
Pages
e2024GL113940 (1-11)
Abstract
Tropical cyclone (TC) impacts along the western Atlantic and Caribbean margin are not spatially uniform. Proxy based reconstructions of Common Era TC activity highlight this non-uniform distribution at centennial-millennial timescales. However, the sparse geographic scope of these reconstructions impedes our assessment of TC landfalls across broader spatial domains. This work presents a compilation of new and existing TC reconstructions from the Yucatan Peninsula for comparison with a contemporaneous compilation from New England, showing that these regions occupy distal nodes of a low-frequency TC dipole. Increased Yucatan (New England) storminess is closely linked to intervals of Northern Hemisphere warming (cooling) and the expansion (contraction) of the Intertropical Convergence Zone, suggesting that secular shifts in the mean climate state mediate dipole orientation.
Rights
© 2025. The Authors.
This is an open access article under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
Data Availability
Article states: "Data sets generated during this research (grain size, chronology) are available from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) paleoclimatology repository (Sullivan et al., 2024). Support for the Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project version 3 data set is provided by the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science Biological and Environmental Research (BER), by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Climate Program Office, and by the NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory Physical Sciences Laboratory."
Original Publication Citation
Sullivan, R. M., van Hengstum, P. J., Wallace, E. J., Coats, S., Donnelly, J. P., Korty, R., Little, S. N., Maas Vargas, M. G., Mejia-Ortiz, L., Reinhardt, E. G., Schumacher, C., Tamalavage, A. E., & Winkler, T. S. (2025). Yucatan hurricane activity highlights Common Era tropical cyclone dipole. Geophysical Research Letters, 52(18), 1-11, Article e2024GL113940. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL113940
Repository Citation
Sullivan, Richard M.; van Hengstum, Peter J.; Wallace, Elizabeth J.; Coats, Sloan; Donnelly, Jeffrey P.; Korty, Robert; Little, Shawna N.; Maas Vargas, Martin G.; Mejia-Ortiz, Luis; Reinhardt, Eduard G.; Schumacher, Courtney; Tamalavage, Anne E.; and Winkler, Tyler S., "Yucatan Hurricane Activity Highlights Common Era Tropical Cyclone Dipole" (2025). OES Faculty Publications. 560.
https://digitalcommons.odu.edu/oeas_fac_pubs/560
Supporting Information S1